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Elections and the Market: Why Staying the Course Matters

By Joe Brunello, Director of Training and Development



As election season approaches, financial professionals often face the question: How will the election impact the stock market? While this concern is valid due to the volatility that can accompany political uncertainty, history shows that maintaining a steady, long-term approach to financial planning is crucial.


Historical Market Trends During Election Years Election years are known for increased market volatility as investors try to predict the impact of potential policy changes. For instance, during the 2008 election, the stock market declined significantly due to the financial crisis. In contrast, the market briefly dropped after the 2016 election but quickly rebounded as investors adjusted to the outcome. Despite these fluctuations, the long-term impact of elections on the stock market is often minimal, with the market stabilizing based on broader economic factors rather than political leadership alone.


The Importance of a Steady Financial Plan Given the temporary nature of election-induced volatility, it's essential for financial professionals to guide clients to maintain focus on their long-term financial goals. Reacting impulsively to short-term market movements can derail even the most carefully crafted financial plans.


Key Points for Advising Clients during Election Season:


  • Historical Perspective: Share how the market has historically behaved during and after elections, emphasizing that short-term volatility rarely affects the long-term growth potential of a well-diversified portfolio.

  • Stay the Course: Encourage clients to avoid making hasty decisions based on election outcomes, reminding them that financial plans are designed to weather various economic conditions.

  • Focus on Fundamentals: Help clients concentrate on the fundamentals of their investments, as individual stock performance is more often influenced by economic factors like interest rates and corporate earnings than by-election results.

  • Reassurance and Communication: Keep open lines of communication with clients throughout the election season to alleviate concerns and help them stay on track with their financial goals.


Conclusion

While elections can introduce short-term uncertainty, this volatility is typically brief. By understanding historical trends and maintaining a disciplined, long-term approach, financial professionals can help navigate election season with confidence. It all starts with a well-structured long-term approach to saving and investing. The Leap model has been helping clients for over four decades stay the course, regardless of who holds office, with proven strategies that focus on building long-term financial success.

 

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